Date: Sunday, October 2nd, 2011
Time: 2 p.m. (ET)
Track: Dover International Speedway
Laps: 400 ; Miles: 400
Broadcast: TV – ESPN ; Radio – MRN/Sirius XM NASCAR
Sunday: High-60°F ; Low-47°F
0% Chance of Rain
Winds NNW at 14 mph
Target: Jimmie Johnson, Kyle Busch, Matt Kenseth, Carl Edwards, and Kurt Busch
Avoid: Kevin Harvick, Clint Bowyer, and Dale Earnhardt Jr.
Analysis: Ten of the last 17 races have been won by drivers starting in the top-five. Johnson has led more laps in the last six races (1273) than anyone else combined.
Bargain: Brad Keselowski has won here in the NNS, and also finished P13 last May. Paul Menard finished P7 at Dover last September, but ran into some trouble last May, as he finished P24.
-Ranked 10th on the current points list in the Chase for the Sprint Cup, Jimmie Johnson will need some more ‘luck’ heading into week three of the Chase- Wonder if it’s too late to get that ‘golden’ horseshoe back?
-Right now, JJ is 29 points behind Tony Stewart in his quest for a sixth straight NASCAR Sprint Cup title. Dover can be exactly what he needs, as he has won at Dover International Speedway two straight years and four times in the past nine seasons. Overall, Johnson is a six-time winner at Dover, the most among active drivers and just one shy of Richard Petty and Bobby Allison.
-Last season, Johnson started on the pole and led the most laps with 191 for his sixth victory of the 2010 campaign and the 53rd of his Cup career.
-In 2009, Johnson won at “The Monster Mile,” as he defeated Mark Martin to complete the Dover Double. Johnson has enjoyed remarkable success at DIS winning six times with 13 top-10 finishes. In 19 starts, his average finish is 9.6 with 1,829 laps led.
-Greg Biffle produced his second career win at Dover in 2008, as he defeated Matt Kenseth for his 14th career Sprint Cup win.
-History of Dover: The official opening of Dover International Speedway, then called Dover Downs International Speedway, was in 1969. The track name was changed to Dover International Speedway in 2002. There have been 83 NASCAR Sprint Cup races at Dover International Speedway since the track opened. The furthest back in the field a race winner started was 37th, by Kyle Petty in 1995. 50 races at Dover have been won from a top-five starting position; 18 races have been won from a starting position outside the top 10.
- ALSO, during the Chase era (2004-Present), the points leader after the second Chase race has never gone on to win the championship. In four of the seven previous Chases, though, the driver in second after two Chase races did go on to win the championship – including Jimmie Johnson in each of the last three seasons.
Next Up: Kansas Speedway- October 9th- “Hollywood Casino 400″
#00 David Reutimann (Zephyrhills, FL) Toyota/Aaron’s Dream Machine
#1 Jamie McMurray (Joplin, MO) Chevrolet/McDonald’s
#2 Brad Keselowski (Rochester Hills, MI) Dodge/Miller Lite
#4 Kasey Kahne (Enumclaw, WA) Toyota/Red Bull
#5 Mark Martin (Batesville, AR) Chevrolet/GoDaddy.com
#6 David Ragan (Unadilla, GA) Ford/UPS
#7 Reed Sorenson (Peachtree City, GA) Dodge/Speed Energy/Mapei
#9 Marcos Ambrose (Launceston, Australia) Ford/Stanley
#11 Denny Hamlin (Chesterfield, VA) Toyota/FedEx Office
#13 Casey Mears (Bakersfield, CA) Toyota/GEICO
#14 Tony Stewart (Columbus, IN) Chevrolet/Office Depot/Mobil 1
#16 Greg Biffle (Vancouver, WA) Ford/3M/Cubitron
#17 Matt Kenseth (Cambridge, WI) Ford/Crown Royal
#18 Kyle Busch (Las Vegas, NV) Toyota/Interstate Batteries
#20 Joey Logano (Middletown, CT) Toyota/Home Depot
#22 Kurt Busch (Las Vegas, NV) Dodge/Shell/Pennzoil
#24 Jeff Gordon (Vallejo, CA) Chevrolet/Drive to End Hunger
#27 Paul Menard (Eau Claire, WI) Chevrolet/Menards/Pitt. Paint
#29 Kevin Harvick (Bakersfield, CA) Chevrolet/Rheem Chasing the Cure
#30 David Stremme (South Bend, IN) Chevrolet/Inception Motorsports
#31 Jeff Burton (South Boston, VA) Chevrolet/Caterpillar
#32 Mike Bliss (Milwaukie, OR) Ford/Street King
#33 Clint Bowyer (Emporia, KS) Chevrolet/Cheerios/Hamb. Helper
#34 David Gilliland (Riverside, CA) Ford/TBA
#36 Dave Blaney (Hartford, OH) Chevrolet/Golden Corral
#37 Josh Wise (Riverside, CA) Ford/TBA
#38 J.J. Yeley (Phoenix, AZ) Ford/Drive Sober Arrive Alive
#39 Ryan Newman (South Bend, IN) Chevrolet/U.S. Army ROTC
#42 Juan Pablo Montoya (Bogota, Colombia) Chevrolet/Target
#43 A.J. Allmendinger (Los Gatos, CA) Ford/Best Buy
#46 Scott Speed (Manteca, CA) Ford/Red Line Oil
#47 Bobby Labonte (Corpus Christi, TX) Toyota/grilling.com
#48 * Jimmie Johnson (El Cajon, CA) Chevrolet/Lowe’s/Kobalt Tools
#50 T.J. Bell (Reno, VA) Chevrolet/Green Smoke
#51 Landon Cassill (Cedar Rapids, IA) Chevrolet/Phoenix Construction
#55 Travis Kvapil (Janesville, WI) Ford/TBA
#56 Martin Truex Jr. (Mayetta, NJ) Toyota/NAPA Auto Brakes
#60 Mike Skinner (Susanville, CA) Chevrolet/Big Red
#66 Michael McDowell (Glendale, AZ) Toyota/HP Racing
#71 Andy Lally (Northport, NY) Ford/Interstate Moving Services
#78 Regan Smith (Cato, NY) Chevrolet/Furniture Row Racing
#83 Brian Vickers (Thomasville, NC) Toyota/Red Bull
#87 Joe Nemechek (Lakeland, FL) Toyota/TBA
#88 Dale Earnhardt Jr. (Kannapolis, NC) Chevrolet/Amp Energy/Nat’l Guard
#99 Carl Edwards (Columbia, MO) Ford/Aflac
For all your post race analysis, continue to follow thepacelap.com, as Branden and I will do our best to make you feel like you are part of the action! Have fun this weekend!